Background & Aims: Health is everyone's right, a social goal and a necessary condition for fulfilling individual and social roles (1). One of the social aspects affecting people's health is job (4). Work is an important part of every person's life, because at least one third of every person's life is spent at work (5). Also, health is the most important physical capital of people in society, and the most important aspect of health is realized directly with the concept of physical and physical activity. Physical activity is an approach to mental health, and people without physical activity generally face many physical and mental problems, and today the importance and value of activity and physical education and sports in relation to the growth of all aspects of human life; Including the physical, psychosocial, and intellectual dimensions, it has been more or less clarified. In fact, physical movement and activity is an inseparable part of human life, because a person fulfills his needs through it (6). Also, the academic community of the country needs to pay more attention to physical activity in the future. Based on this, it is necessary to study the development of physical activities of university faculty members on the basis of a prospective study, to analyze the drivers affecting this situation, and finally to depict the possible scenarios of this situation with a hierarchical analysis.
Methods: This research has a qualitative, descriptive and exploratory nature. The statistical sample in this research was the measure of expertise, experiences and activities that people had left behind in the field of physical activity of sports in the university and that they could explain future issues. 13 experts were selected by relying on the principle selection method, which is equivalent to the purposeful sampling approach. In this research, the Petershwartz method, which is one of the most famous and at the same time the most reliable methods of scenario presentation, was used to create a scenario. In this research, the structural analysis approach and Micmac software were used to analyze the mutual effects of variables on the development of physical activity of university professors in the future. Also, for the selection and selection of the selected scenarios, the approach of balance analysis of mutual effects was used. The developers of this method are the Center for Interdisciplinary Studies of Risk and Innovation of the University of Stuttgart, Germany. It should be mentioned that Scenario Wizard calculation software was used to facilitate the use of this method.
Results: In the first step of research and literature review, the number of 20 final components related to the future development of physical activities of university faculty members was identified. Also, five variables "Physical literacy", "Increasing sports facilities", "Health oriented culture", "Active city" and "Emergence of health oriented perspective" have the most impact and the most impact. These five drivers and the uncertainties hidden in them are the entry of the scenario wizard software in the next stage of the research and the basis of more and more developed analyzes in the field of the research topic. At the same time, all the influential, influential and regulatory variables identified in this part of the research play a role in decision-making and policy-making, and it is necessary to analyze and describe their possible status in future scenarios. Physical activity of university professors should be taken into consideration. As a result, considering the uncertainties and the emergence of influencing factors, the future path of physical activity of university professors, if it wants to keep pace with the global developments in this field, requires a complex path; The only obvious point is that the subject of physical activity of university professors in the future world is susceptible to increasing and numerous changes and the only way to successfully face these changes is future thinking and premeditation.
Conclusion: Therefore, according to the research process, it is suggested to managers and officials of universities to be coherent in carrying out a set of behaviors related to health and health, empowering people to increase control of health-related factors and as a result increase health, promote people's social health. and consider the communities important and help their growth through education. It is suggested to the managers and officials of the universities to increase the sports facilities of the university specifically for the use of the professors.